Saturday 3rd October 2015

I’ve not had any bets so far this week despite some good racing taking place, it’s more of the same today unless somthing happens at Wolverhampton this evening but more on that shortly.

The feature race of the weekend is the Arc De Triomphe tomorrow where the outstanding mare Treve is bidding to land a hat-trick of wins. The race promises to be highly exciting with a top class field lining up that includes Golden Horn, but I hope Treve can land the spoils.

As for today, I would take on Top Notch Tonto over seven furlongs as I feel the trip is now on the sharp side for the horse, 3:35 Redcar. The problem is what do you take him on with?

So Beloved carries a Group 3 penalty, that could make life tough whilst Celestial Path hasn’t been seen since a very good 5^th in the 2,000 Guineas. That horse must have had a few problems but the market is speaking in favour of the Sir Mark Prescott trained runner. I can’t make my mind up so I’ve passed the race over and will likely just watch Tonto bolt up !!!

The 3:30 at Newmarket should be between Esoterique & Integral. The French trained runner is certainly the safer selection of the two and comes into this race in very good form, however do remember Integral has beaten her main rival 3 times before.

Integral won this race last year but ran poor when last seen at Royal Ascot, it’s possible the ground was too quick for her that day but she had gone ok beforehand on a quick surface. I’m told Integral is now back in very good form on the Newmarket gallops but you couldn’t be 100% confident.

At the prices I would just go with Integral and maybe back her EW at the odds of 7-2, if only placed there’s real damage done but she doesn’t look like a confident selection.

Finally keep an eye out for a market move on Harlestone Hopes 9:00 Wolverhampton. Trained by Ed Dunlop I noted this horse making up plenty of ground in two all weather runs over a much shorter trip. He went into my notebook "back when stepped up in distance". That happened at Goodwood next time but Harlestone Hopes hung badly and didn’t look to handle the track, I can forgive him that effort.

The worry this evening is the horse has not been seen for over 150 days and he might just need the outing, however I think he’s better than we've seen so far and tonight's trip on the AW looks ideal. The horse should be winning at some point if not this evening, keep with him win or lose.

A whopping 1677 horses have been entered in the upcoming Newmarket sales, we’re certainly in the market for a couple of horses and I’m now taking names for the new syndicates. It will take a good three weeks to get through the entire catalogue so the midnight oil will be burning. This is where you get it right or wrong so the homework must be done.

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